The FinSec View

A Finsec View – Bulls V Bears, Virus Mutations and a Broken Insurance System

Issue: Friday 19th March 2021 It is a year since the World Health Organisation declared COVID-19 a global pandemic. The USA was about to close its borders, and Australian's were about to start tackling each other for loo paper. Hard to believe that 12 months on and equity markets have surged back, the majority beyond pre-pandemic highs. Now the talk is of recovery, rising rates and inflation. So, where do we stand one year on? It seems to be [...]

2021-03-22T09:04:52+10:30March 22nd, 2021|The FinSec View|

A Finsec View – Lower for Longer, Bonds, A Visit from Magellan

Due to a glitch in our system, Friday's customary view comes to you a weekend late. For those in South Australia, we trust you enjoyed a relaxing and restful long weekend. In the spirit of International Women's Day (yesterday), we take a moment to acknowledge and celebrate the work, spirit and resilience of all the women in the FinSec community. It's rare that there is so much focus on bond yields and inflation, and it's mainly due to their potential impact on [...]

2021-03-09T11:35:23+10:30March 9th, 2021|The FinSec View|

A Finsec View – Bitcoin, Lower for Longer and Super Update

Issue: Friday 19 February 2021 Last week was GameStop; this week, it's Bitcoin with some similar themes - waves of money, speculation and a movement behind it. Thanks mainly to a tweet from Elon Musk, Bitcoin has risen more than 30% in just over a week and is currently sitting just above $US50,000. Tesla's explanation for their $1.5 billion plunge into the cryptocurrency - it had updated its investment policy to provide it with more flexibility to diversify and to [...]

2021-02-22T08:37:38+10:30February 19th, 2021|The FinSec View|

A Finsec View – Robinhood, Bubbles, US Stimulus and Chinese Empires

Issue: Friday 5 February 2021 Welcome 2021 Traumatic events have a habit of etching themselves in our mind. We can remember where we were and what we were doing even if it was from thousands of miles away and we didn't have anything to do with it personally. For different generations this will mean different things. The GFC, the 9/11 bombings, Princess Diana's crash, JFK's assassination and so on but, for all of us 2020 will be one of those [...]

2021-02-08T10:18:57+10:30February 5th, 2021|The FinSec View|

A FinSec View #23

Issue: Friday 18 December 2020 In the words of Bob Dylan "Doesn't expecting the unexpected make the unexpected expected?" But what we weren't expecting... A pandemic on a global scale; Masks and social distancing our new normal; Children home-schooled; Borders closed; All gatherings and celebrations cancelled; The fastest bear market in history Businesses told to operate virtually or not at all; Almost 200 of the largest public companies in the US reaching zombie status; and Central banks the heroes, [...]

2020-12-21T09:31:51+10:30December 18th, 2020|The FinSec View|

A FinSec View #22

Issue: Friday 04 December 2020   The recession is officially over Adding to a year of wildly fluctuating data, figures released on Wednesday show the Australian economy grew by 3.3% in the July-September quarter. It's the largest quarterly increase since 1976 and comes after a 7% contraction in the April to June quarter, the largest quarterly fall on record. The growth spurt was powered by a rise in household consumption growing by 7.9%, the largest rise in the 60-year [...]

2020-12-04T16:29:15+10:30December 4th, 2020|The FinSec View|

The FinSec View #21

Issue: Friday 20 November 2020 It is hard not to be proud of the pragmatic and stoic way South Australians have responded to the state's hard lock-down. Perhaps not quite as much pride in the circumstances surrounding today's announcements and why we are now in a position to lift restrictions three days early... Regardless, we must count ourselves lucky, a few days is a far cry from the months our Melbourne friends and families endured. Only three confirmed cases [...]

2020-11-23T09:36:05+10:30November 20th, 2020|The FinSec View|

A FinSec View #20 – US Election Special

US ELECTION SPECIAL EDITION: Friday 06 November 2020 A close race, but it would seem Joe Biden has it. Yet, with millions of votes still to be tabulated and Trump now calling for counting to stop, exactly when a winner will be declared, is still unclear. What is clear, is that this time it really seems to matter. With non-compulsory voting in the US, the historical challenge has always been to convince people to make the effort. Not this [...]

2020-11-09T09:12:56+10:30November 9th, 2020|The FinSec View|

A Finsec View #19

Issue: Friday 16 October 2020Federal Budget 2020 - 2021 - What Lies AheadThis year's Federal Budget (6 October 2020) saw an enormous spending and borrowing binge of war-time proportions. On a mission to plug the economic hole left by lockdown measures in the fight against COVID, this budget is all about recovery.Recovery will cost a record $213.7bn this financial year, around 11% of GDP with further deficits extending into the never-never (experts are touting we will see gross debt reach [...]

2020-10-20T12:20:32+10:30October 16th, 2020|The FinSec View|

The Finsec View #18

02 October 2020 US Election The US election is now only a month away (3 November). Watching the debate on Wednesday was nothing short of uncomfortable. From a policy perspective it offered nothing new, but to watch the behaviour of both parties was cringeworthy. In a country where people need to be encouraged to use their democratic right to vote, this spectacle gave them little reason to. What does it mean for markets? We expect to see continued volatility [...]

2020-10-06T11:05:22+10:30October 2nd, 2020|The FinSec View|
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